Multi-annual modes in the 20th century temperature variability in reanalyses and CMIP5 models Geoscientific Model Development DOI 10.5194/gmd-9-4097-2016 17 November 2016 This study compares the 20th century multi-annual climate variability modes in reanalysis data sets (ERA-20C and 20CR) and 12 climate model simulations using the randomised multi-channel singular spectrum analysis. The reanalysis data sets are remarkably similar on all timescales, except that the spectral power in ERA-20C is systematically slightly higher than in 20CR. None of the climate models closely reproduce all aspects of the reanalysis spectra, although many aspects are represented well. Read more
Accounting for model error in air quality forecasts: an application of 4DEnVar to the assimilation of atmospheric composition using QG-Chem 1.0 Geoscientific Model Development DOI 10.5194/gmd-9-3933-2016 8 November 2016 This paper analyses methods to assimilate chemical measurements in air quality models. We developed a reduced-order atmospheric chemistry model, which was used to compare results from different assimilation algorithms. Using an ensemble variational method (4DEnVar), we exploited the dynamical information provided by hourly measurements of chemical concentrations to diagnose model biases and improve next-day forecasts for several species of interest for air quality. Read more
GMMIP (v1.0) contribution to CMIP6: Global Monsoons Model Inter-comparison Project Geoscientific Model Development DOI 10.5194/gmd-9-3589-2016 10 October 2016 This paper tells why to launch the Global Monsoons Model Inter-comparison Project (GMMIP) and how to achieve its scientific goals on monsoon variability. It addresses the scientific questions to be answered, describes three tiered experiments comprehensively and proposes a basic analysis framework to guide future research. It will help the monsoon research communities to understand the objectives of the GMMIP and the modelling groups involved in the GMMIP conduct the experiments successfully. Read more
Modeling global water use for the 21st century: the Water Futures and Solutions (WFaS) initiative and its approaches Geoscientific Model Development DOI 10.5194/gmd-9-175-2016 21 January 2016 The Water Futures and Solutions (WFaS) initiative coordinates its work with other ongoing scenario efforts for the sake of establishing a consistent set of new global water scenarios based on the shared socio-economic pathways (SSPs) and the representative concentration pathways (RCPs). The WFaS “fast-track” assessment uses three global water models, H08, PCR-GLOBWB, and WaterGAP, to provide the first multi-model analysis of global water use for the 21st century based on the water scenarios. Read more
The assessment of a global marine ecosystem model on the basis of emergent properties and ecosystem function: a case study with ERSEM Geoscientific Model Development DOI 10.5194/gmd-9-59-2016 15 January 2016 To use models to inform policy or to forecast the impact of climate change, the model must first be shown to be a valid representation of the ecosystem. Here we show an novel method to validate a marine model using its ability to represent ecosystem function. These relationships are the community structure, the carbon to chlorophyll ratio and the stoichiometric balance of the ecosystem. These methods are powerful, valid over large spatial scales and independent of the circulation model. Read more
Modelling Mediterranean agro-ecosystems by including agricultural trees in the LPJmL model Geoscientific Model Development DOI 10.5194/gmd-8-3545-2015 5 November 2015 This study presents the inclusion of 10 Mediterranean agricultural plants in an agro-ecosystem model (LPJmL): nut trees, date palms, citrus trees, orchards, olive trees, grapes, cotton, potatoes, vegetables and fodder grasses. The model was successfully tested in three model outputs: agricultural yields, irrigation requirements and soil carbon density. With this development presented, LPJmL is now able to simulate in good detail and mechanistically the functioning of Mediterranean agriculture. Read more
ECCO version 4: an integrated framework for non-linear inverse modeling and global ocean state estimation Geoscientific Model Development DOI 10.5194/gmd-8-3071-2015 6 October 2015 The ECCO v4 non-linear inverse modeling framework and its reference solution are made publicly available. The inverse estimate of ocean physics and atmospheric forcing yields a dynamically consistent and global state estimate without unidentified sources of heat and salt that closely fits in situ and satellite data. Any user can reproduce it accurately. Parametric and external model uncertainties are of comparable magnitudes and generally exceed structural model uncertainties. Read more
POM.gpu-v1.0: a GPU-based Princeton Ocean Model Geoscientific Model Development DOI 10.5194/gmd-8-2815-2015 9 September 2015 Graphics processing units (GPUs) are an attractive solution in many scientific applications due to their high performance. However, most existing GPU conversions of climate models use GPUs for only a few computationally intensive regions. In the present study, we redesign the mpiPOM (a parallel version of the Princeton Ocean Model) with GPUs. We show that the performance of the new model on a workstation containing four GPUs is comparable to that on a powerful cluster with 408 standard CPU cores, and it reduces the energy consumption by a factor of 6.8. Read more
EMPOWER-1.0: an Efficient Model of Planktonic ecOsystems WrittEn in R Geoscientific Model Development DOI 10.5194/gmd-8-2231-2015 24 July 2015 Ecosystem models provide a powerful tool for simulating ocean biology. Care must be exercised when selecting appropriate equations and parameter values to represent chosen marine ecosystems. Here, we present an efficient plankton model testbed, using simplified physics and coded in the freely available language R. Multiple runs can be undertaken for different ocean sites, permitting thorough evaluation of ecosystem model performance. The testbed also serves as an excellent resource for teaching. Read more
14C-age tracers in global ocean circulation models Geoscientific Model Development DOI 10.5194/gmd-8-2079-2015 16 July 2015 The natural abundance of 14C in CO2 dissolved in seawater is often used to evaluate circulation and age in the ocean and in ocean models. We study limitations of using natural 14C to determine the time elapsed since water had contact with the atmosphere. We find that, globally, bulk 14C age is dominated by two equally important components, (1) the time component of circulation and (2) the “preformed 14C-age”. Considering preformed 14C-age is critical for an assessment of circulation in models. Read more