A lesson in preparedness: assessing the effectiveness of low-cost post-wildfire flood protection measures for the catastrophic flood in Kineta, Greece Hydrology and Earth System Sciences DOI 10.5194/hess-30-1487-2026 23 March 2026 Wildfires can exacerbate flood risks, as seen in a Greek town where heavy rain caused significant damage following a recent fire. This study examined how simple, low-cost protection measures, such as Log Erosion Barriers and wooden check-dams, might have mitigated the damage. Using models and real data, we found these measures could have lowered the flood's impact by 25 % and saved millions in damage. Therefore, investing in such prevention can be cheaper than paying for repairs after disasters. Read more
High resolution monthly precipitation isotope estimates across Australia from machine learning Hydrology and Earth System Sciences DOI 10.5194/hess-30-289-2026 26 January 2026 We used a random forest approach to produce estimates of monthly precipitation stable isotope variability from 1962–2023, at high resolution across the entire Australian continent. Comprehensive skill and sensitivity testing shows that our random forest models skilfully predict precipitation isotope values in places and times that observations are not available. We make all outputs freely available, facilitating use in fields from ecology and hydrology to archaeology and forensic science. Read more
Global projections of aridity index for mid and long-term future based on CMIP6 scenarios Hydrology and Earth System Sciences DOI 10.5194/hess-30-163-2026 13 January 2026 Our study investigates global dryland dynamics and aridification under future climate scenarios. By employing the Food and Agriculture Organisation Aridity Index and an ensemble of 13 models from the 6th Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, we provide projections for dryland distribution and aridity index across three shared socio-economic pathways (2-4.5, 3-7.0, and 5-8.5) for the near-term (2030–2059) and for the long-term (2070–2099) future. Read more
How do geological map details influence the identification of geology-streamflow relationships in large-sample hydrology studies? Hydrology and Earth System Sciences DOI 10.5194/hess-29-7173-2025 15 December 2025 We show that geological maps with varying levels of detail may influence the identification of geology–streamflow relationships across European catchments at multiple scales. At the large scale, controls varied between basins, with no map consistently superior. At the intermediate and small scales, however, higher geological detail consistently strengthened correlations, particularly for baseflow signatures, with the regional map highlighting controls more consistent with process understanding. Read more
Assessment of source regions of the Zambezi River: implications for regional water security Hydrology and Earth System Sciences DOI 10.5194/hess-29-4557-2025 21 September 2025 This study focused on the sources of the Zambezi River, revealing new insights into its longest tributary and Angola's key role in its flow. River expeditions and earth observation data show that Angola contributed approximately 73 % of the river's flow upstream of a major floodplain during the 2023 late wet season. We highlight Angola's wetlands, which support river health and help mitigate pollution. These findings stress the need for improved monitoring and regional cooperation in the basin. Read more
Consequences of the Aral Sea restoration for its present physical state: temperature, mixing, and oxygen regime Hydrology and Earth System Sciences DOI 10.5194/hess-29-3569-2025 7 August 2025 The Aral Sea is both an example of large-scale environmental degradation caused by human activity and a message of hope through its partial restoration. Our study shows that the restored part of the Aral Sea is now healthy in terms of vertical mixing and oxygenation. However, small perturbations of water level or transparency could significantly alter the entire ecosystem. The results contribute to understanding the consequences of large-scale lake management worldwide. Read more
The value of hydroclimatic teleconnections for snow-based seasonal streamflow forecasting in central Asia Hydrology and Earth System Sciences DOI 10.5194/hess-29-3055-2025 22 July 2025 Seasonal streamflow forecasts for snowmelt-dominated catchments often rely on snowpack data, which are not always available and are prone to errors. Our study evaluates near-real-time global snow estimates and climate oscillation indices for predictions in the data-scarce mountains of central Asia. We show that climate indices can improve prediction accuracy at longer lead times, help offset snow data uncertainty, and enhance predictions where streamflow depends on in-season climate variability. Read more
Is drought protection possible without compromising flood protection? Estimating the potential dual-use benefit of small flood reservoirs in southern Germany Hydrology and Earth System Sciences DOI 10.5194/hess-29-2785-2025 7 July 2025 In this paper, we use models to demonstrate that even small flood reservoirs – which capture water to avoid floods downstream – can be repurposed to release water in drier conditions without affecting their ability to protect against floods. By capturing water and releasing it once levels are low, we show that reservoirs can greatly increase the water available in drought. Having more water available to the reservoir, however, is not necessarily better for drought protection. Read more
Meteorological ingredients of heavy precipitation and subsequent lake-filling episodes in the northwestern Sahara Hydrology and Earth System Sciences DOI 10.5194/hess-29-1395-2025 17 March 2025 The Sahara was wetter in the past and may become wetter in the future. Lake remnants are evidence of the desert’s wetter past. If the Sahara gets wetter in the future, these lakes may serve as a water resource. However, it is unclear how these lakes get filled and how moisture is carried into the desert and converted into rain in the first place. Therefore, we examine processes currently leading to the filling of a dry lake in the Sahara, which can help assess future water availability. Read more
CH-RUN: a deep-learning-based spatially contiguous runoff reconstruction for Switzerland Hydrology and Earth System Sciences DOI 10.5194/hess-29-1061-2025 27 February 2025 This study reconstructs daily runoff in Switzerland (1962–2023) using a deep-learning model, providing a spatially contiguous dataset on a medium-sized catchment grid. The model outperforms traditional hydrological methods, revealing shifts in Swiss water resources, including more frequent dry years and declining summer runoff. The reconstruction is publicly available. Read more