Consequences of the Aral Sea restoration for its present physical state: temperature, mixing, and oxygen regime Hydrology and Earth System Sciences DOI 10.5194/hess-29-3569-2025 7 August 2025 The Aral Sea is both an example of large-scale environmental degradation caused by human activity and a message of hope through its partial restoration. Our study shows that the restored part of the Aral Sea is now healthy in terms of vertical mixing and oxygenation. However, small perturbations of water level or transparency could significantly alter the entire ecosystem. The results contribute to understanding the consequences of large-scale lake management worldwide. Read more
The value of hydroclimatic teleconnections for snow-based seasonal streamflow forecasting in central Asia Hydrology and Earth System Sciences DOI 10.5194/hess-29-3055-2025 22 July 2025 Seasonal streamflow forecasts for snowmelt-dominated catchments often rely on snowpack data, which are not always available and are prone to errors. Our study evaluates near-real-time global snow estimates and climate oscillation indices for predictions in the data-scarce mountains of central Asia. We show that climate indices can improve prediction accuracy at longer lead times, help offset snow data uncertainty, and enhance predictions where streamflow depends on in-season climate variability. Read more
Is drought protection possible without compromising flood protection? Estimating the potential dual-use benefit of small flood reservoirs in southern Germany Hydrology and Earth System Sciences DOI 10.5194/hess-29-2785-2025 7 July 2025 In this paper, we use models to demonstrate that even small flood reservoirs – which capture water to avoid floods downstream – can be repurposed to release water in drier conditions without affecting their ability to protect against floods. By capturing water and releasing it once levels are low, we show that reservoirs can greatly increase the water available in drought. Having more water available to the reservoir, however, is not necessarily better for drought protection. Read more
Meteorological ingredients of heavy precipitation and subsequent lake-filling episodes in the northwestern Sahara Hydrology and Earth System Sciences DOI 10.5194/hess-29-1395-2025 17 March 2025 The Sahara was wetter in the past and may become wetter in the future. Lake remnants are evidence of the desert’s wetter past. If the Sahara gets wetter in the future, these lakes may serve as a water resource. However, it is unclear how these lakes get filled and how moisture is carried into the desert and converted into rain in the first place. Therefore, we examine processes currently leading to the filling of a dry lake in the Sahara, which can help assess future water availability. Read more
CH-RUN: a deep-learning-based spatially contiguous runoff reconstruction for Switzerland Hydrology and Earth System Sciences DOI 10.5194/hess-29-1061-2025 27 February 2025 This study reconstructs daily runoff in Switzerland (1962–2023) using a deep-learning model, providing a spatially contiguous dataset on a medium-sized catchment grid. The model outperforms traditional hydrological methods, revealing shifts in Swiss water resources, including more frequent dry years and declining summer runoff. The reconstruction is publicly available. Read more
Creating a national urban flood dataset for China from news texts (2000–2022) at the county level Hydrology and Earth System Sciences DOI 10.5194/hess-29-767-2025 19 February 2025 We create China’s first open county-level urban flood dataset (2000–2022) using news media data with the help of deep learning. The dataset reflects both natural and societal influences and includes 7595 urban flood events across 2051 counties, covering 46 % of China’s land area. It reveals the predominance of summer floods, an upward trend since 2000, and a decline from southeast to northwest. Notably, some highly developed regions show a decrease, likely due to improved flood management. Read more
Characterizing nonlinear, nonstationary, and heterogeneous hydrologic behavior using ensemble rainfall–runoff analysis (ERRA): proof of concept Hydrology and Earth System Sciences DOI 10.5194/hess-28-4427-2024 11 October 2024 Here, I present a new way to quantify how streamflow responds to rainfall across a range of timescales. This approach can estimate how different rainfall intensities affect streamflow. It can also quantify how runoff response to rainfall varies, depending on how wet the landscape already is before the rain falls. This may help us to understand processes and landscape properties that regulate streamflow and to assess the susceptibility of different landscapes to flooding Read more
Large-sample hydrology – a few camels or a whole caravan? Hydrology and Earth System Sciences DOI 10.5194/hess-28-4219-2024 20 September 2024 We show that the differences between the forcing data included in three CAMELS datasets (US, BR, GB) and the forcing data included for the same catchments in the Caravan dataset affect model calibration considerably. The model performance dropped when the data from the Caravan dataset were used instead of the original data. Most of the model performance drop could be attributed to the differences in precipitation data. However, differences were largest for the potential evapotranspiration data. Read more
Young and new water fractions in soil and hillslope waters Hydrology and Earth System Sciences DOI 10.5194/hess-28-4295-2024 20 September 2024 We use a 3-year time series of tracer data of streamflow and soils to show how water moves through the subsurface to become streamflow. Less than 50% of soil water consists of rainfall from the last 3 weeks. Most annual streamflow is older than 3 months, and waters in deep subsurface layers are even older; thus deep layers are not the only source of streamflow. After wet periods more rainfall was found in the subsurface and the stream, suggesting that water moves quicker through wet landscapes. Read more
Mesoscale permeability variations estimated from natural airflows in the decorated Cosquer Cave (southeastern France) Hydrology and Earth System Sciences DOI 10.5194/hess-28-4035-2024 6 September 2024 Conservation of decorated caves is highly dependent on airflows and is correlated with rock formation permeability. We present the first conceptual model of flows around the Paleolithic decorated Cosquer coastal cave (southeastern France), quantify air permeability, and show how its variation affects water levels inside the cave. This study highlights that airflows may change in karst unsaturated zones in response to changes in the water cycle and may thus be affected by climate change. Read more