Using a coupled agent-based modeling approach to analyze the role of risk perception in water management decisions Hydrology and Earth System Sciences DOI 10.5194/hess-23-2261-2019 10 May 2019 This study applies a two-way coupled agent-based model (ABM) with a river-reservoir management model (RiverWare) to analyze the role of risk perception in water management decisions using the Bayesian inference mapping joined with the cost–loss model. The calibration results capture the dynamics of historical irrigated area and streamflow changes and suggest that the proposed framework improves the representation of human decision-making processes compared to conventional rule-based ABMs. Read more
Controls on spatial and temporal variability in streamflow and hydrochemistry in a glacierized catchment Hydrology and Earth System Sciences DOI 10.5194/hess-23-2041-2019 24 April 2019 Hydrometric and geochemical dynamics are controlled by interplay of meteorological conditions, topography and geological heterogeneity. Nivo-meteorological indicators (such as global solar radiation, temperature and decreasing snow depth) explain monthly conductivity and isotopic dynamics best. These insights are important for better understanding hydrochemical responses of glacierized catchments under a changing cryosphere. Read more
Geostatistical interpolation by quantile kriging Hydrology and Earth System Sciences DOI 10.5194/hess-23-1633-2019 20 March 2019 Many variables, e.g., in hydrology, geology, and social sciences, are only observed at a few distinct measurement locations, and their actual distribution in the entire space remains unknown. We introduce the new geostatistical interpolation method ofquantile kriging, providing an improved estimator and associated uncertainty. It can also host variables, which would not fulfill the implicit presumptions of the traditional geostatistical interpolation methods. Read more
Attributing the 2017 Bangladesh floods from meteorological and hydrological perspectives Hydrology and Earth System Sciences DOI 10.5194/hess-23-1409-2019 13 March 2019 In August 2017 Bangladesh faced one of its worst river flooding events in recent history. For the large Brahmaputra basin, using precipitation alone as a proxy for flooding might not be appropriate. In this paper we explicitly test this assumption by performing an attribution of both precipitation and discharge as a flooding-related measure to climate change. We find the change in risk to be of similar order of magnitude (between 1 and 2) for both the meteorological and hydrological approach. Read more
Effects of univariate and multivariate bias correction on hydrological impact projections in alpine catchments Hydrology and Earth System Sciences DOI 10.5194/hess-23-1339-2019 11 March 2019 Several multivariate bias correction methods have been developed recently, but only a few studies have tested the effect of multivariate bias correction on hydrological impact projections. This study shows that incorporating or ignoring inter-variable relations between air temperature and precipitation can have a notable effect on the projected snowfall fraction. The effect translated to considerable consequences for the glacio-hydrological responses and streamflow components of the catchments. Read more
Conservative finite-volume forms of the Saint-Venant equations for hydrology and urban drainage Hydrology and Earth System Sciences DOI 10.5194/hess-23-1281-2019 7 March 2019 A new derivation of the equations for one-dimensional open-channel flow in rivers and storm drainage systems has been developed. The new approach solves some long-standing problems for obtaining well-behaved solutions with conservation forms of the equations. This research was motivated by the need for highly accurate models of large-scale river networks and the storm drainage systems in megacities. Such models are difficult to create with existing equation forms. Read more
Seasonal origins of soil water used by trees Hydrology and Earth System Sciences DOI 10.5194/hess-23-1199-2019 1 March 2019 We used stable isotopes of xylem water to study differences in the seasonal origin of water in more than 900 individual trees from three dominant species in 182 Swiss forested sites. We discovered that midsummer transpiration was mostly supplied by winter precipitation across diverse humid climates. Our findings provide new insights into tree vulnerability to droughts, transport of water (and thus solutes) in soils, and the climatic information conveyed by plant-tissue isotopes. Read more
A simple topography-driven and calibration-free runoff generation module Hydrology and Earth System Sciences DOI 10.5194/hess-23-787-2019 13 February 2019 Supported by large-sample ecological observations, a novel, simple and topography-driven runoff generation module (HSC-MCT) was created. The HSC-MCT is calibration-free, and therefore it can be used to predict in ungauged basins, and has great potential to be generalized at the global scale. Also, it allows us to reproduce the variation of saturation areas, which has great potential to be used for broader hydrological, ecological, climatological, and biogeochemical studies. Read more
Emergent stationarity in Yellow River sediment transport and the underlying shift of dominance: from streamflow to vegetation Hydrology and Earth System Sciences DOI 10.5194/hess-23-549-2019 30 January 2019 Our study shows that there is declining coupling between sediment concentration and discharge from daily to annual scales for gauges across the Yellow River basin (YRB). Not only the coupling, but also the magnitude of sediment response to discharge variation decreases with long-term mean discharge. This emergent stationarity can be related to sediment retardation by vegetation, suggesting the shift of dominance from water to vegetation as mean annual discharge increases. Read more
Quantifying new water fractions and transit time distributions using ensemble hydrograph separation: theory and benchmark tests Hydrology and Earth System Sciences DOI 10.5194/hess-23-303-2019 18 January 2019 How long does it take for raindrops to become streamflow? Here I propose a new approach to this old problem. I show how we can use time series of isotope data to measure the average fraction of same-day rainfall appearing in streamflow, even if this fraction varies greatly from rainstorm to rainstorm. I show that we can quantify how this fraction changes from small rainstorms to big ones, and from high flows to low flows, and how it changes with the lag time between rainfall and streamflow. Read more