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Evaluating stratospheric ozone and water vapour changes in CMIP6 models from 1850 to 2100

Stratospheric ozone and water vapour are key components of the Earth system; changes to both have important impacts on global and regional climate. We evaluate changes to these species from 1850 to 2100 in the new generation of CMIP6 models. There is good agreement between the multi-model mean and observations, although there is substantial variation between the individual models. The future evolution of both ozone and water vapour is strongly dependent on the assumed future emissions scenario.

The behavior of high-CAPE (convective available potential energy) summer convection in large-domain large-eddy simulations with ICON

Current state-of-the-art regional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models employ kilometer-scale horizontal grid resolutions, thereby simulating convection within the grey zone. Increasing resolution leads to resolving the 3D motion field and has been shown to improve the representation of clouds and precipitation. Using a hectometer-scale model in forecasting mode on a large domain therefore offers a chance to study processes that require the simulation of the 3D motion field at small horizontal scales.

CAPE (convective available potential energy) summer convection in large-domain large-eddy simulations with ICON">Read more

Interhemispheric transport of metallic ions within ionospheric sporadic E layers by the lower thermospheric meridional circulation

Here, we report a study of ionospheric irregularities using scintillation data from COSMIC satellites and identify a large-scale horizontal transport of long-lived metallic ions, combining the simulations of the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model with the chemistry of metals and ground-based observations from two meridional chains of stations from 1975–2016.

Sensitivities to biological aerosol particle properties and ageing processes: potential implications for aerosol–cloud interactions and optical properties

Primary biological aerosol particles (PBAPs), such as bacteria, viruses, fungi, and pollen, represent a small fraction of the total aerosol burden. Given that PBAPs are highly efficient atmospheric ice nuclei (IN) at T > -10 ∘C, we suggest that small changes in their sizes or surface properties due to chemical, physical, or biological processing might translate into large impacts on ice initiation in clouds.

Model physics and chemistry causing intermodel disagreement within the VolMIP-Tambora Interactive Stratospheric Aerosol ensemble

As part of the Model Intercomparison Project on the climatic response to Volcanic forcing (VolMIP), several climate modeling centers performed a coordinated pre-study experiment with interactive stratospheric aerosol models simulating the volcanic aerosol cloud from an eruption resembling the 1815 Mt. Tambora eruption (VolMIP-Tambora ISA ensemble).

A-Train estimates of the sensitivity of the cloud-to-rainwater ratio to cloud size, relative humidity, and aerosols

Precipitation efficiency has been found to play an important role in constraining the sensitivity of the climate through its role in controlling cloud cover, yet its controls are not fully understood. Here we use CloudSat observations to identify individual contiguous shallow cumulus cloud objects and compute the ratio of cloud water path to rainwater (WRR) path as a proxy for warm-rain efficiency.

Low-NO atmospheric oxidation pathways in a polluted megacity

The impact of emissions of volatile organic compounds (VOCs) to the atmosphere on the production of secondary pollutants, such as ozone and secondary organic aerosol (SOA), is mediated by the concentration of nitric oxide (NO). Polluted urban atmospheres are typically considered to be high-NO” environments, while remote regions such as rainforests, with minimal anthropogenic influences, are considered to be “low NO”. However, our observations from central Beijing show that this simplistic separation of regimes is flawed.

Mass accommodation and gas–particle partitioning in secondary organicaerosols: dependence on diffusivity, volatility, particle-phase reactions,and penetration depth

Mass accommodation is an essential process for gas–particle partitioning of organic compounds in secondary organic aerosols (SOA). The mass accommodation coefficient is commonly described as the probability of a gas molecule colliding with the surface to enter the particle phase. It is often applied, however, without specifying if and how deep a molecule has to penetrate beneath the surface to be regarded as being incorporated into the condensed phase (adsorption vs. absorption).

An overview of the ORACLES (ObseRvations of Aerosols above CLouds and theirintEractionS) project: aerosol–cloud–radiation interactions in the southeastAtlantic basin

Southern Africa produces almost a third of the Earth’s biomass burning (BB) aerosol particles, yet the fate of these particles and their influence on regional and global climate is poorly understood. ORACLES (ObseRvations of Aerosols above CLouds and their intEractionS) is a 5-year NASA EVS-2 (Earth Venture Suborbital-2) investigation with three intensive observation periods designed to study key atmospheric processes that determine the climate impacts of these aerosols.

ORACLES (ObseRvations of Aerosols above CLouds and theirintEractionS) project: aerosol–cloud–radiation interactions in the southeastAtlantic basin">Read more

Opinion: Cloud-phase climate feedback and the importance of ice-nucleatingparticles

Shallow clouds covering vast areas of the world’s middle- and high-latitude oceans play a key role in dampening the global temperaturerise associated with CO2. These clouds, which contain both ice andsupercooled water, respond to a warming world by transitioning to a statewith more liquid water and a greater albedo, resulting in a negative“cloud-phase” climate feedback component. Here we argue that the magnitudeof the negative cloud-phase feedback component depends on the amount andnature of the small fraction of aerosol particles that can nucleate icecrystals. We propose that a concerted research effort is required to reducesubstantial uncertainties related to the poorly understoodsources, concentration, seasonal cycles and nature of these ice-nucleatingparticles (INPs) and their rudimentary treatment in climate models. Thetopic is important because many climate models may have overestimated themagnitude of the cloud-phase feedback, and those with better representationof shallow oceanic clouds predict a substantially larger climate warming. Wemake the case that understanding the present-day INP population in shallowclouds in the cold sector of cyclone systems is particularly critical fordefining present-day cloud phase and therefore how the clouds respond towarming. We also need to develop a predictive capability for future INPemissions and sinks in a warmer world with less ice and snow and potentiallystronger INP sources.

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