NorESM2–DIAM: a coupled model for investigating global and regional climate-economy interactions Geoscientific Model Development DOI 10.5194/gmd-19-1337-2026 12 February 2026 We introduce NorESM2-DIAM (Norwegian Earth System Model version 2-Disaggregated Integrated Assessment Model), a first-of-its-kind tool linking a climate model with a high-resolution economic model to study how climate change, internal variability, and economic activity interact across the world. The model reveals strong regional differences and large annual swings in economic impacts, offers insights for climate policy discussions, and provides a strong foundation for future model development. Read more
Water vapour isotope anomalies during an atmospheric river event at Dome C, East Antarctica The Cryosphere DOI 10.5194/tc-20-1025-2026 11 February 2026 In December 2018, an atmospheric river event from the Atlantic reached Dome C, East Antarctica, causing a +18 °C warming, tripled water vapour, and a strong isotopic anomaly in water vapour (+ 17 ‰ for δ18O) at the surface. During the peak of the event, we found 70 % of the water vapour came from local snow sublimation, and 30 % from the atmospheric river itself, highlighting both long-range moisture advection and interactions between the boundary layer and the snowpack. Read more
Phytoplankton blooms affect microscale differences of oxygen and temperature across the sea surface microlayer Ocean Science DOI 10.5194/os-22-403-2026 9 February 2026 Microsensors measuring oxygen and temperature were used to gain high-resolution profiles across the surface of a water basin, in which an algal bloom was induced. These novel data show that the oxygen at the sea surface is highly influenced by algal blooms, while the temperature is only indirectly affected by them. Since algal blooms occur globally, this has considerable implications for calculating global air-sea exchanges of gases or heat, especially under low-wind conditions. Read more
Northward shift of boreal tree cover confirmed by satellite record Biogeosciences DOI 10.5194/bg-23-1089-2026 5 February 2026 Analysis of 36 years of satellite tree cover data provide the first comprehensive confirmation of the northward advance of the boreal forest. Boreal tree cover expanded by 0.84 million km² (12%) from 1985 to 2020 and shifted northward by 0.43°. Gains outpaced losses across most latitudes, confirming a biome-wide poleward shift. Young forests now comprise 15% of the area of the world’s largest forest biome, storing 1–6 Pg C and potentially sequestering an additional 2–4 Pg C as they mature. Read more
Investigating controls on fluvial grain sizes in post-glacial landscapes using citizen science Earth Surface Dynamics DOI 10.5194/esurf-14-95-2026 4 February 2026 We explore controls on channel sediment characteristics in post-glacial landscapes. In contrast to other studies that have focused on landscapes with little glacial influence, we find no apparent controls. We propose that Scotland's post-glacial legacy drives the lack of sedimentological trends, and that changes in landscape morphology and sediment sources caused by glacial processes lead to a decoupling between fluvial sediment grain size and environmental variables. Read more
The largest crop production shocks: magnitude, causes and frequency Earth System Dynamics DOI 10.5194/esd-17-151-2026 3 February 2026 Large crop failures happen regularly around the world, threatening food security. We analyzed sixty years of global crop production data and found that every country has experienced major crop losses. Climate events like droughts cause most severe disruptions, with some African nations losing up to eighty percent of production. While global crop shocks above five percent are rare, regional disruptions occur frequently. These findings show our food system faces regular large-scale threats. Read more
Machine-learning models of δ13C and δ15N isoscapes in Amazonian wood Biogeosciences DOI 10.5194/bg-23-881-2026 2 February 2026 Illegal logging is a major environmental concern in the Amazon. We tested whether the isotopic composition of carbon (δ13C) and nitrogen (δ15N) in wood can support timber traceability. Using machine-learning models, we generated basin-wide isoscapes showing that both isotopes capture consistent environmental gradients, providing a scientific basis to improve provenance verification and guide enforcement efforts. Read more
Flood risks to the financial stability of residential mortgage borrowers: an integrated modeling approach Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences DOI 10.5194/nhess-26-675-2026 30 January 2026 Uninsured flood damage can destabilize household finances, particularly when access to affordable credit is limited. Across seven floods in North Carolina, 66% of damage was found to be uninsured. Among affected mortgage borrowers, 32% lacked sufficient income or collateral to finance repairs through home equity-based borrowing, making their recovery uncertain. These findings suggest that uninsured flood damage poses a serious and under-recognized threat to residential mortgage borrowers. Read more
Assessment of the Cape Blanc (northwest Africa) upwelling ecosystem response to recent climate change, using wavelet analyses on dinoflagellate cyst export Biogeosciences DOI 10.5194/bg-23-831-2026 29 January 2026 This study examined the cycle variability in records of a plankton group remnant (dinoflagellate cysts), atmospheric, and oceanic factors off Cape Blanc, Northwest Africa. The result showed changes in the cycles of the plankton, upwelling winds, and Saharan dust records from 2003 to 2020. These changes were divided into three phases, coinciding with changes in the plankton assemblage. Our results showed that local climate change can influence the dynamics and composition of marine ecosystems. Read more
Operational numerical weather prediction with ICON on GPUs (version 2024.10) Geoscientific Model Development DOI 10.5194/gmd-19-755-2026 27 January 2026 The ICON climate and numerical weather prediction model was fully ported to Graphical Processing Units (GPUs) using OpenACC compiler directives, covering all components required for operational weather prediction. The GPU port together with several performance optimizations led to a speed-up of 5.6× when comparing to traditional Central Processing Units (CPUs) . Thanks to this adaptation effort, MeteoSwiss became the first national weather service to run the ICON model operationally on GPUs. Read more